Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.003613 0.003794 0.003978 0.004181 0.004398 0.004625 0.004879
2025-07-27 0.003273 0.003538 0.003820 0.004144 0.004508 0.004904 0.005370
2025-08-03 0.003060 0.003372 0.003713 0.004117 0.004584 0.005110 0.005751
2025-08-10 0.002893 0.003237 0.003621 0.004086 0.004637 0.005274 0.006076
2025-08-17 0.002812 0.003190 0.003620 0.004151 0.004796 0.005561 0.006551
2025-08-24 0.002701 0.003099 0.003559 0.004137 0.004852 0.005720 0.006871
2025-08-31 0.002598 0.003009 0.003493 0.004109 0.004886 0.005848 0.007153
2025-09-07 0.002493 0.002913 0.003412 0.004058 0.004884 0.005925 0.007368
2025-09-14 0.002397 0.002822 0.003333 0.004003 0.004873 0.005987 0.007560
2025-09-21 0.002337 0.002774 0.003304 0.004008 0.004937 0.006146 0.007889
2025-09-28 0.002225 0.002656 0.003183 0.003890 0.004831 0.006073 0.007890
2025-10-05 0.002173 0.002610 0.003152 0.003885 0.004876 0.006203 0.008181
2025-10-12 0.002146 0.002598 0.003163 0.003938 0.005001 0.006449 0.008654
2025-10-19 0.002084 0.002538 0.003110 0.003903 0.005002 0.006522 0.008879
2025-10-26 0.002030 0.002486 0.003067 0.003878 0.005017 0.006613 0.009130
2025-11-02 0.001978 0.002436 0.003022 0.003849 0.005023 0.006691 0.009366
2025-11-09 0.001964 0.002434 0.003041 0.003909 0.005158 0.006961 0.009915
2025-11-16 0.001922 0.002394 0.003010 0.003896 0.005184 0.007071 0.010213
2025-11-23 0.001879 0.002351 0.002971 0.003871 0.005193 0.007151 0.010468
2025-11-30 0.001829 0.002298 0.002917 0.003823 0.005165 0.007175 0.010627
2025-12-07 0.001781 0.002246 0.002864 0.003773 0.005131 0.007187 0.010766
2025-12-14 0.001754 0.002223 0.002848 0.003778 0.005180 0.007331 0.011137
2025-12-21 0.001690 0.002145 0.002757 0.003668 0.005051 0.007185 0.010994